Showing posts with label Markets. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Markets. Show all posts

Monday, June 23, 2014

Indonesian 10-Year Yield Rises to Highest Since March on Deficit


Indonesian bond yields are at their highest in three months. (JG Photo/ Dhana Kencana)
Indonesian bond yields are at their highest in three months. (JG Photo/ Dhana Kencana)
Indonesia’s bonds fell, pushing the 10-year yield to a three-month high, on speculation the prospect of increased government debt sales will prompt investors to seek higher returns on existing notes.
Sovereign borrowings are set to rise after the nation raised its budget-deficit target for the year. Lawmakers approved a revised fiscal shortfall of 2.4 percent of gross domestic product, compared with 1.69 percent previously, Ahmadi Noor Supit, chairman of the parliament’s budget commission, said on June 18. The Finance Ministry plans to auction Rp 8 trillion ($668 million) of securities on Tuesday, after an Islamic bond offering last week fell short of its goal as the government rejected bids for higher yields.
The yield on the nation’s 8.375 percent bonds due March 2024 rose three basis points, or 0.03 percentage point, to 8.16 percent as of 11 a.m. in Jakarta, according to the Inter Dealer Market Association. That’s the highest since March 26. The rupiah rose 0.1 percent to 11,965 per dollar, prices from local banks show. It lost 2.4 percent this month, the most among 24 emerging-market currencies tracked by Bloomberg.
“The higher financing need gives investors more sway to ask for better yields, while failed sukuk sales are a concern as they would add to the supply of conventional bonds,” said Dini Agmivia
Anggraeni, a fixed-income analyst at Maybank Kim Eng Securities in Jakarta. “Rupiah weakness is also a concern.”
In the offshore market, one-month non-deliverable rupiah forwards were little changed at 11,985 per dollar, 0.2 percent weaker than the onshore rate, data compiled by Bloomberg show.
One-month implied volatility, a measure of expected swings in the exchange rate used to price options, climbed two basis points to 10.02 percent. Bank Indonesia set a fixing used to settle the rupiah forwards at 11,971 per dollar, compared with 11,967 on June 20.
Bloomberg

Tuesday, June 17, 2014

Pupuk Indonesia to Raise Rp 3.7t From Bond Sale Next Month

Jakarta. State-owned Pupuk Indonesia, the region’s largest fertilizer producer, aims to raise Rp 3.7 trillion ($314 million) from selling bonds next month to finance its subsidiaries.
The Jakarta-based company plans to issue three-year bonds with a coupon rate of between 9.25 percent and 10 percent and five-year bonds with a coupon rate of between 9.75 percent and 10.25 percent, according to Pupuk Indonesia’s press statement obtained by the Jakarta Globe on Tuesday.
This is Pupuk Indonesia’s first bond sale since it was consolidated by the State-Owned Enterprises Ministry in 2011.
The offering will start on July 2 and 3, and the bonds will be listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange (IDX) on July 10.
BCA Sekuritas, Danareksa Sekuritas, HSBC Securities Indonesia, and Mandiri Sekuritas have been appointed to manage the sale.
Pupuk Indonesia produces and sells various fertilizers, petrochemical products, and other chemical products that’s commonly used in the agriculture industry through its subsidiaries.
Proceeds from the bond sale will be primarily loaned to Pupuk Indonesia’s subsidiaries, the company said on its press statement.
Some 41 percent is allocated to Pupuk Iskandar Muda to pay off its bank loans, 32 percent will be given to Pupuk Kalimantan Timur for its working capital, and  8 percent will go to Pupuk Indonesia Logistik to develop its commercial and logistic business.
The remainder will be used by Pupuk Indonesia to set up two new business units with 12 percent for an energy unit and 7 percent for a property unit.
By Vanesha Manuturi on 01:36 pm Jun 17, 2014

Monday, June 16, 2014

Cambodia’s Second Stock Listing Highlights Growing Pains for Frontier Markets

Hean Sahib, center left, Cambodia’s Secretary of State of Ministry of Economy and Finance and Chairman of Cambodia Securities Exchange rings a bell during the official listing ceremony of Grand Twins International (Cambodia) at the CSX office in Phnom Penh on June 16, 2014. Grand Twins became the second publicly traded company in Cambodia. (Reuters Photo/Samrang Pring)
Hean Sahib, center left, Cambodia’s Secretary of State of Ministry of Economy and Finance and Chairman of Cambodia Securities Exchange rings a bell during the official listing ceremony of Grand Twins International (Cambodia) at the CSX office in Phnom Penh on June 16, 2014. Grand Twins became the second publicly traded company in Cambodia. (Reuters Photo/Samrang Pring)
Phnom Penh/Hong Kong. The number of companies on Cambodia’s stock exchange doubled on Monday — to two.
The debut by a Taiwan garment maker is an important baby step for the bourse, but the firm’s long road to listing and a lack of clarity on the number of companies to follow underscore just how far Cambodia has to go before it becomes a hot frontier market.
While neighboring Vietnam has seen around 660 companies go public since the opening of its first bourse in 2000, both Cambodia and Laos, which has three listed firms, have failed to live up to early expectations that came when their exchanges opened for business in 2011.
Many Cambodian firms are unwilling to commit to transparency by providing financial statements or to comply with taxation laws, brokers and investors in the country say. Red tape and listing rules more suited to a developed market only compound the problem.
“We find it a very bureaucratic market to invest in, and they are shooting themselves in the foot with listing requirements that are too strict,” said Thomas Hugger, manager of the Asia Frontier Capital fund.
That the newly listing company — Grand Twins International (Cambodia), a major clothing manufacturer in the country — is not Cambodian but Taiwanese only serves to highlight local corporate reluctance. As does the two-year gap since Cambodia’s first listing.
Grand Twins, which counts Adidas and Reebok among its clients, had initially planned to list last year. It says it decided it would fare better in Cambodia where the textile industry is a pillar of the economy rather than electronics-focused Taiwan.
But its $19 million initial public offering was pushed back due to delays in getting paperwork done — a problem which resurfaced even after the offering was completed with its listing date postponed twice, sources with direct knowledge of the matter said.
Companies planning to list must provide three years of financial statements, have made a profit for three years and fulfil potentially onerous requirements to have a variety of shareholders.
The Cambodia Securities Exchange, a joint venture with Korea’s bourse, initially announced plans to list three state-owned companies by the end of 2012 but so far only the Phnom Penh Water Supply Authority has made it to market.
And there is not a whole lot of turnover, with no shares changing hands in one in three trading days last month. The trading floor was empty and computers sat switched off when a Reuters reporter visited in June.
While some 100 people, mostly media, were in attendance for the ringing of the bell for Grand Twins, it was a subdued debut with the stock falling 5 percent in extremely thin trade.
Hong Sok Hour, CEO of the exchange, has said around 10 companies are exploring a listing and there would likely be one more before the end of the year, but noted preparing financial statements continued to be a challenge.
“We can’t know when they are ready,” he told a news conference earlier this month.
Frontier potential
Frontier markets, a subset of emerging markets but which are more illiquid, less stable and carry more risk, have increasingly found favor with investors and without change, Cambodia has much to lose in potential capital.
The MSCI frontier markets index is up almost 15 percent so far this year, against a 5 percent rise in the MSCI emerging markets index.
Vietnam’s benchmark index was Southeast Asia’s best performer last year, rising 22 percent and while it took a bit of a knock last month on tensions with China, it is still up 14 percent for the year to date. It has a market cap of $47 billion, though that still pales in comparison to emerging markets like Thailand whose benchmark has a market value of around $400 billion.
Lack of action from Cambodia and Laos mean they risk being eclipsed by Myanmar, says Asia Frontier’s Hugger.
Myanmar, which has enacted sweeping political and economic reforms since 2011, is drawing huge foreign investor interest with some of that beginning to bear fruit. Gap, for example, just announced plans to open two factories in Yangon.
Myanmar, which currently has two listed firms, plans to open a brand new exchange in October next year with Japanese help. It says half a dozen companies will list in the early stages including Myanmar Agribusiness Public Corporation and Asia Green Development Bank.
Changes needed
While experts say that both Cambodia and Laos do have well run companies that would be attractive investment targets, there needs to a change in mindset as business tycoons have yet to be convinced about the benefits of listing.
Pervasive corruption has also fostered a sense of distrust that is hindering the development of a local institutional base, despite most of the necessary regulatory framework being in place.
“Foreign investors and, to my surprise, even quite a number of local investors are still questioning the trustworthiness of local companies’ financial statements,” said Han Kyung-tae, head of Southeast Asia investment banking at Tongyang Securities (Cambodia), who worked on the first Cambodian IPO.
The Cambodian government could benefit by taking a leaf out of the books of other frontier markets such as Bangladesh, said Douglas Clayton, chief executive of frontier market fund Leopard Capital.
Public companies in Bangladesh pay 27.5 percent tax, while most private companies must pay 37.5 percent. Cambodia could, for example, cut corporate taxes in half for three to five years for listed companies, he said.
“The greater transparency this would bring might actually increase tax collections over the long term,” he added.
Also key will be convincing bigger companies to list — a factor far more important than quantity. Vietnam’s market only took off from about 2007 after the government pushed more large firms to list and lifted a cap on foreign ownership.
Most of investor attention in Vietnam is occupied by only a handful of stocks, said Adrian Cundy, managing director at Ho Chi Minh City-based VinaSecurities. Among companies with a market value larger than $500 million, just 11 have more than $1 million worth of trade a day.
“Cambodia needs to find three or four companies that can trade at those levels, such as a bank, a telco or a power company,” he said.
Reuters
By Prak Chan Thul & Lawrence White on 01:41 pm Jun 16, 2014